2026-10-09

Trench lessons — 2026-10-09

Key takeaways
  • 200 ms slots go live on mainnet today, about 10:00 AM CT
  • Mayhem and graduation quality: unchanged, so the mayhem skip is still right

200 ms slots go live on mainnet today, about 10:00 AM CTevidence: B, Anza / solana.com

  • Timing. The SIMD-0525 final step is the epoch 1053 boundary, which Anza expected around 15:00 UTC on Oct 9 (10:00 AM CT). Mainnet runs 250 ms slots until then. The separate Agave v4.4 rollout starts Oct 19, with feature activations resuming Nov 9.

Mayhem and graduation quality: unchanged, so the mayhem skip is still rightevidence: B/C

  • Mayhem share. Oct 2–8: mayhem was 23.7% of launches (30 days: 26.1%). Mayhem launches hit the rug flag within 300 s in 87.2% of cases, vs 52.9% for classic launches.
  • Graduations. True graduations were 1.72% of launches, and 57.5% were instant bundles. Of the 6,499 PumpSwap pools that opened with ≥50 SOL, 62.0% lost 90% inside 30 min (median 8.0 min).

Sources

  1. https://solana.com/upgrades/reduced-slot-times
  2. https://solanacompass.com/news/solanas-200ms-slot-time-is-pending-on-mainnet-scheduled-to-go-live-at-epoch-1053-on-october-9
  3. https://github.com/anza-xyz/agave/wiki/v4.4-Release-Schedule
  4. https://api.loopholetape.com/stats/pumpfun

Evidence grades: A = large dataset, B = official docs, C = vendor/thread/small sample. Research notes for education only. Not financial advice.